Delayed onset of the 2002 Indian monsoon

Citation:
Flatau, MK, Flatau PJ, Schmidt J, Kiladis GN.  2003.  Delayed onset of the 2002 Indian monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters. 30

Date Published:

Jul

Keywords:

interannual variability, sea, summer monsoon

Abstract:

[1] We show that there is a set of dynamical predictors, which facilitate forecasting of a delayed monsoon onset. The main dynamical contributor is the early May propagation of the "bogus onset Intraseasonal Oscillation'' which triggers a set of events precluding the climatological monsoon onset. We analyze in detail the 2002 monsoon onset and show that it followed a pattern described in our previous study. We notice that the 2003 monsoon onset followed very similar pattern and was delayed.

Notes:

n/a

Website

DOI:

10.1029/2003gl017434

Scripps Publication ID:

1768